Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 72.7%
Defensive zone
Drouin 63.0%
Neutral zone
Drouin 64.3%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Drouin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Drouin
Monahan
Last 5: Drouin 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Drouin
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Drouin
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drouin
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
53.2% (823)
-5.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
55.3% (159)
+1.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Drouin
Monahan
Home
49.5% (97)
54.6% (529)
Away
49.2% (128)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Drouin
Monahan
P1
52.1%
49.0%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
45.0%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |