Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Crosby 55.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 58.2%
Defensive zone
Drouin 63.1%
Neutral zone
Drouin 55.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Drouin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Drouin
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Drouin
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
53.7% (984)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
64.7% (241)
-7.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Drouin
Crosby
Home
49.5% (97)
56.9% (649)
Away
49.2% (128)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Drouin
Crosby
P1
52.1%
55.8%
P2
51.5%
53.2%
P3
45.0%
58.7%
OT
50.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |