Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Crosby 52.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 54.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 68.5%
Neutral zone
Drouin 53.6%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Drouin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Drouin
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Drouin
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drouin
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
52.5% (1,443)
-7.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
54.7% (369)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
55.9% (34)
-55.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Drouin shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Drouin
Crosby
Home
37.5% (160)
53.0% (931)
Away
49.5% (220)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Drouin
Crosby
P1
40.3%
50.3%
P2
43.3%
55.4%
P3
49.6%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |