Alex DeBrincat vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.4% vs 41.8%). DeBrincat wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 43.2% vs Marchessault 42.2% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 50.9%
Defensive zone
DeBrincat 52.1%
Neutral zone
DeBrincat 52.4%
Result
Alex DeBrincat favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
DeBrincat
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (316)
41.3% (1,437)
+0.5%
Power Play
39.0% (59)
44.3% (264)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, DeBrincat has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. DeBrincat is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (124).
DeBrincat shoots right. Marchessault is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Marchessault
Home
38.3% (196)
42.5% (888)
Away
44.8% (183)
41.0% (822)
By Period
DeBrincat
Marchessault
P1
39.5%
43.1%
P2
46.2%
42.1%
P3
40.0%
39.9%
OT
38.5%
42.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
41.4%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%