Jonathan Marchessault vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +23.6% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.5% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-23.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 85.6%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 67.0%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 75.0%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Marchessault
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Marchessault
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Marchessault
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Marchessault
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (54)
62.5% (1,109)
-23.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
62.2% (352)
-62.2%
On power play, Bergeron has a +62.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Marchessault is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Marchessault shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Bergeron
Home
34.3% (35)
61.9% (917)
Away
42.9% (21)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Marchessault
Bergeron
P1
36.4%
60.8%
P2
33.3%
60.3%
P3
50.0%
63.0%
Final 5 min
77.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
37.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |