Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.2% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 96.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.3%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 59.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Marchessault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marchessault
Kuraly
Last 5: Marchessault 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Marchessault
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (1,437)
51.5% (5,141)
-10.2%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
56.0% (100)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.2% (1,086)
+0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Marchessault is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,121).
Marchessault shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Kuraly
Home
42.5% (888)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
41.0% (822)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Marchessault
Kuraly
P1
43.1%
51.1%
P2
42.1%
49.9%
P3
39.9%
50.0%
OT
42.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |