Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Kuraly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Kuraly holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Marchessault 45.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-16.9%)
Offensive zone Marchessault 79.4%
Defensive zone Kuraly 82.0%
Neutral zone Kuraly 50.7%
Result Sean Kuraly favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Marchessault Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Marchessault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
51.8% (444)
-21.8%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +21.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Kuraly
Home
33.3% (21)
54.6% (304)
Away
33.3% (12)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Marchessault
Kuraly
P1
45.5%
55.2%
P2
25.0%
45.7%
P3
22.2%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%
32.0%
33.3%
Kuraly
64.0%
57.0%
50.2%