Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Kuraly
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 38.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.8% vs Kuraly 49.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.5%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 56.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Marchessault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marchessault
Kuraly
Last 5: Marchessault 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Marchessault
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (117)
52.4% (416)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
57.1% (7)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
32.0% (97)
-32.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Marchessault is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Marchessault shoots right. Kuraly is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Kuraly
Home
41.9% (74)
52.1% (259)
Away
43.5% (62)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Marchessault
Kuraly
P1
40.7%
46.8%
P2
42.9%
52.4%
P3
47.2%
47.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
42.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |