Jonathan Marchessault vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Thompson 45.3% (-11.4%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 55.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Marchessault
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
44.9% (642)
-14.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
47.9% (94)
+18.8%
On power play, Marchessault has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Marchessault is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marchessault shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Thompson
Home
33.3% (21)
46.0% (391)
Away
33.3% (12)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Marchessault
Thompson
P1
45.5%
48.1%
P2
25.0%
44.9%
P3
22.2%
41.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
14.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%