Jonathan Marchessault vs Timo Meier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Meier 47.2% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 51.3%
Defensive zone
Meier 55.4%
Neutral zone
Meier 50.7%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Marchessault
Meier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
40.9% (93)
-10.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.9% (23)
+5.8%
On even strength, Meier has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Meier is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Meier
Home
33.3% (21)
40.4% (57)
Away
33.3% (12)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Marchessault
Meier
P1
45.5%
32.6%
P2
25.0%
50.0%
P3
22.2%
59.1%
Final 5 min
14.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%