Jonathan Marchessault vs Warren Foegele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Warren Foegele holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foegele shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Foegele 48.0% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 56.4%
Defensive zone
Foegele 50.1%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 53.7%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Marchessault
Foegele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Foegele
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
45.5% (22)
-15.5%
On even strength, Foegele has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foegele shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Foegele is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Foegele
Home
33.3% (21)
45.5% (11)
Away
33.3% (12)
35.7% (14)
By Period
Marchessault
Foegele
P1
45.5%
35.7%
P2
25.0%
40.0%
P3
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Foegele
34.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%