Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (61.5% vs 61.4%). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Toews 60.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 70.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 71.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 57.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Raty
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Toews
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Raty
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
62.4% (692)
-1.9%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
59.3% (135)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
46.9% (32)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Toews is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Raty
Toews
Home
61.4% (332)
60.9% (435)
Away
61.5% (260)
61.8% (424)
By Period
Raty
Toews
P1
56.6%
60.2%
P2
67.4%
65.7%
P3
59.6%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |