Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 43.7% vs Toews 56.8% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 63.6%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Toews
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Jarnkrok
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
38.4% (138)
55.9% (1,143)
-17.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
65.1% (304)
-9.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
45.0% (60)
61.7% (810)
Away
35.6% (87)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
37.8%
56.0%
P2
41.5%
56.9%
P3
38.9%
59.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
39.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |