Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Toews 60.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 62.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 78.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Cizikas
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cizikas
Toews
Last 8: Cizikas 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Cizikas
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Cizikas
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
62.5% (696)
-8.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.6% (141)
+40.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
46.9% (32)
+0.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Toews
Home
53.3% (270)
60.9% (435)
Away
54.8% (299)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Cizikas
Toews
P1
57.2%
59.8%
P2
56.3%
65.7%
P3
49.5%
58.8%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |