Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Toews 58.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 62.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Cizikas
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Toews
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Cizikas
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Cizikas
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
58.0% (901)
-0.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
69.5% (226)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
51.7% (209)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Toews
Home
56.6% (484)
59.3% (637)
Away
54.5% (477)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Cizikas
Toews
P1
57.2%
61.5%
P2
54.7%
55.2%
P3
54.8%
60.0%
OT
100.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |