Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Toews 56.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 76.4%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 83.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 82.1%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Barbashev
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Barbashev
Toews
Last 8: Barbashev 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Barbashev
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Barbashev
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
56.5% (1,310)
-10.0%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
59.7% (325)
-43.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
51.0% (245)
-9.7%
On power play, Toews has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Barbashev is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Barbashev shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Toews
Home
45.9% (233)
56.6% (927)
Away
45.2% (208)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Barbashev
Toews
P1
46.5%
56.3%
P2
48.3%
55.8%
P3
42.1%
57.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |