Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Toews 56.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 69.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 88.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 73.8%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Barbashev
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barbashev
Toews
Last 7: Barbashev 2-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Barbashev
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
1
Barbashev
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Barbashev
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
55.9% (1,014)
-11.2%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
62.8% (301)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
55.9% (179)
-8.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Barbashev shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Toews
Home
39.6% (134)
56.6% (709)
Away
49.5% (194)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Barbashev
Toews
P1
38.3%
60.4%
P2
50.0%
57.6%
P3
49.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |