Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Toews 58.0% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 81.5%
Defensive zone
Benn 87.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 88.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Benn
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Benn
Toews
Last 9: Benn 2-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Benn
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Benn
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
58.2% (1,200)
-9.1%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
62.8% (250)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
53.7% (123)
-13.7%
On power play, Toews has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Benn shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Benn
Toews
Home
50.0% (232)
59.8% (805)
Away
44.7% (246)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Benn
Toews
P1
43.9%
60.2%
P2
45.6%
60.7%
P3
51.6%
55.9%
OT
100.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
43.4%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |