Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stoll wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Toews 58.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 72.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 82.0%
Neutral zone
Stoll 56.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Stoll
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stoll
Toews
Last 10: Stoll 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
6
Stoll
Toews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Stoll
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
58.2% (1,200)
-0.5%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
62.8% (250)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
53.7% (123)
+0.2%
On power play, Stoll has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Stoll shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Stoll
Toews
Home
59.6% (421)
59.8% (805)
Away
54.5% (422)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Stoll
Toews
P1
55.4%
60.2%
P2
55.9%
60.7%
P3
59.9%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
44.8%
Final 5 min
60.3%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |