Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hecht wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Toews 58.6% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 60.9%
Defensive zone
Hecht 75.9%
Neutral zone
Hecht 76.3%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Hecht
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Hecht
Toews
Last 10: Hecht 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
Hecht
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hecht
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
58.5% (775)
-11.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
64.9% (225)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
55.8% (120)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Hecht is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Hecht shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Hecht
Toews
Home
49.3% (150)
63.0% (567)
Away
41.3% (150)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Hecht
Toews
P1
44.3%
59.6%
P2
50.0%
58.2%
P3
41.9%
60.7%
OT
33.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |