Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Toews 56.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 71.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 70.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 70.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Thornton
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Thornton
Toews
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Thornton
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
8
Thornton
Toews
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
5
Thornton
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
55.6% (1,125)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
59.3% (312)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
57.4% (204)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
54.9% (597)
59.8% (858)
Away
54.0% (643)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
53.0%
58.7%
P2
51.2%
55.1%
P3
57.8%
56.5%
OT
72.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2011 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |