Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Toews 59.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 52.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 54.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 55.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Thornton
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Thornton
Toews
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thornton
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
5
Thornton
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
57.3% (736)
-0.3%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
71.4% (133)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
66.1% (62)
-4.1%
On power play, Toews has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Thornton
Toews
Home
56.7% (353)
61.0% (479)
Away
60.3% (348)
58.8% (454)
By Period
Thornton
Toews
P1
59.3%
61.3%
P2
60.1%
57.9%
P3
57.1%
59.3%
OT
47.6%
73.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |