Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Weal 52.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 68.3%
Defensive zone
Weal 68.8%
Neutral zone
Weal 66.7%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Toews
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Toews
Weal
Last 6: Toews 2-4 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
2
Toews
Weal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Weal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Toews
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
51.8% (867)
+5.4%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
59.7% (129)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
37.5% (8)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Toews
Weal
Home
59.7% (9,192)
53.2% (455)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Toews
Weal
P1
58.6%
56.6%
P2
57.8%
50.7%
P3
57.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
58.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |