Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Robidas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Robidas 50.0% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 69.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 70.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Toews
Robidas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Robidas
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Robidas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Robidas
0
2
Toews
Robidas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Robidas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Robidas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Robidas
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
50.0% (24)
+12.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Robidas shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Robidas is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Toews
Robidas
Home
60.9% (435)
50.0% (24)
Away
62.0% (434)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Toews
Robidas
P1
59.8%
66.7%
P2
65.7%
33.3%
P3
58.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Robidas
47.6%▬
47.6%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Justin Robidas |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Justin Robidas |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Justin Robidas |