Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Wilson 48.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 71.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 66.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Toews
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Wilson
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Wilson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
3
Toews
Wilson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
48.3% (116)
+8.9%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
100.0% (2)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
26.7% (15)
+26.9%
On power play, Wilson has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Wilson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Toews
Wilson
Home
59.7% (9,192)
42.6% (68)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Toews
Wilson
P1
58.6%
42.9%
P2
57.8%
50.9%
P3
57.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Wilson
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Kyle Wilson |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Kyle Wilson |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Kyle Wilson |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |