Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Couture 53.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 82.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 71.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Toews
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Toews
Couture
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
53.5% (709)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
55.4% (139)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
42.4% (33)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Couture is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Toews
Couture
Home
59.8% (858)
55.3% (454)
Away
53.3% (795)
51.4% (434)
By Period
Toews
Couture
P1
58.7%
52.4%
P2
55.1%
57.3%
P3
56.5%
50.3%
OT
54.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Logan Couture |