Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Couture 48.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 74.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 58.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 71.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Toews
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Toews
Couture
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Couture
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
4
Toews
Couture
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Toews
Couture
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
48.7% (986)
+9.3%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
58.5% (94)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
44.1% (195)
+7.6%
On power play, Toews has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Toews
Couture
Home
59.3% (637)
47.2% (625)
Away
58.7% (699)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Toews
Couture
P1
61.5%
46.8%
P2
55.2%
49.8%
P3
60.0%
49.8%
OT
70.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Logan Couture |