Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Couture 51.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 73.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 66.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 69.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Toews
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Toews
Couture
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Toews
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
4
5
Toews
Couture
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
51.4% (775)
+7.1%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
59.0% (78)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
39.1% (46)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Couture is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Toews
Couture
Home
63.0% (567)
53.3% (407)
Away
55.8% (570)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Toews
Couture
P1
59.6%
49.8%
P2
58.2%
53.3%
P3
60.7%
51.2%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |