Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 54.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Toews
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toews
Scheifele
Last 7: Toews 5-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Toews
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
49.3% (649)
+8.7%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
55.7% (183)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
50.0% (16)
+1.7%
On power play, Toews has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Toews
Scheifele
Home
59.3% (637)
52.3% (440)
Away
58.7% (699)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Toews
Scheifele
P1
61.5%
52.3%
P2
55.2%
50.4%
P3
60.0%
51.4%
OT
70.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |