Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Cullen 51.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 86.6%
Neutral zone
Cullen 66.6%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Toews
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Toews
Cullen
Last 5: Toews 1-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Toews
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Toews
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
54.0% (648)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
58.3% (24)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
40.6% (187)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Cullen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Toews
Cullen
Home
58.7% (784)
52.9% (416)
Away
51.0% (768)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Toews
Cullen
P1
54.0%
53.5%
P2
57.4%
51.3%
P3
52.6%
49.2%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |