Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Cullen 53.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 31-23 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 65.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 85.9%
Neutral zone
Cullen 73.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Toews
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
31
(54 meetings)
23
31
Toews
Cullen
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
4
Toews
Cullen
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
4
17
Toews
Cullen
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
5
10
Toews
Cullen
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
54.8% (5,371)
+2.4%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
52.3% (421)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
48.0% (953)
+5.6%
On power play, Toews has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Toews
Cullen
Home
59.7% (9,192)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Toews
Cullen
P1
58.6%
54.7%
P2
57.8%
52.8%
P3
57.3%
53.3%
OT
58.9%
62.7%
Final 5 min
58.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |