Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Cullen 50.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 64.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 91.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 74.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Toews
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Toews
Cullen
Last 8: Toews 2-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Toews
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Toews
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
49.8% (482)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
60.0% (5)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
50.3% (153)
+0.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Cullen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (422).
Home / Away
Toews
Cullen
Home
56.6% (927)
53.4% (311)
Away
56.0% (953)
46.8% (329)
By Period
Toews
Cullen
P1
56.3%
51.1%
P2
55.8%
47.9%
P3
57.3%
51.8%
OT
48.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |