Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Talbot 46.2% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.0%
Defensive zone
Talbot 59.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Toews
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Talbot
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Talbot
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
2
Toews
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
44.9% (107)
+11.0%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
100.0% (1)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
43.6% (117)
+4.9%
On power play, Talbot has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Toews shoots left. Talbot is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Toews
Talbot
Home
61.7% (810)
45.5% (112)
Away
52.3% (734)
43.4% (113)
By Period
Toews
Talbot
P1
56.0%
42.2%
P2
56.9%
48.3%
P3
59.3%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Max Talbot |