Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Talbot 47.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Toews
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Toews
Talbot
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
1
Toews
Talbot
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
3
Toews
Talbot
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
48.3% (1,738)
+8.9%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
49.0% (51)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
42.3% (631)
+11.3%
On power play, Toews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Toews
Talbot
Home
59.7% (9,192)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Toews
Talbot
P1
58.6%
48.7%
P2
57.8%
43.5%
P3
57.3%
48.6%
OT
58.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |