Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Ribeiro 43.1% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 95.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Toews
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Toews
Ribeiro
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Toews
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
42.5% (624)
+16.0%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
42.2% (128)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
36.7% (49)
+19.1%
On power play, Toews has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (560).
Home / Away
Toews
Ribeiro
Home
63.0% (567)
44.3% (395)
Away
55.8% (570)
40.2% (413)
By Period
Toews
Ribeiro
P1
59.6%
36.5%
P2
58.2%
43.8%
P3
60.7%
45.6%
OT
52.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
59.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |