Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 33 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 51-26 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 99.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 98.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 96.8%
96.8%
3.2%
Toews
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
26
(77 meetings)
51
26
Toews
Ribeiro
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
13
11
Toews
Ribeiro
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
24
9
Toews
Ribeiro
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
14
6
Toews
Ribeiro
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
42.9% (4,887)
+14.3%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
45.6% (930)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
33.3% (147)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Toews
Ribeiro
Home
59.7% (9,192)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Toews
Ribeiro
P1
58.6%
42.6%
P2
57.8%
44.3%
P3
57.3%
41.8%
OT
58.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |