Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 90.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Toews
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Toews
Ribeiro
Last 9: Toews 7-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Ribeiro
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
43.1% (821)
+12.8%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
48.1% (77)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
0.0% (5)
+48.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Toews shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Toews
Ribeiro
Home
61.7% (810)
45.2% (504)
Away
52.3% (734)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Toews
Ribeiro
P1
56.0%
42.7%
P2
56.9%
45.3%
P3
59.3%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |