Jonathan Toews vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+18.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 85.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 83.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Toews
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Toews
MacKinnon
Last 10: Toews 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Toews
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
44.7% (1,053)
+16.4%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
36.8% (95)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
65.0% (20)
-5.4%
On power play, Toews has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Toews
MacKinnon
Home
64.8% (560)
49.4% (553)
Away
60.6% (381)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Toews
MacKinnon
P1
62.3%
45.3%
P2
63.9%
42.7%
P3
62.8%
45.1%
OT
70.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
63.1%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |