Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Spaling 49.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 97.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 80.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Toews
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
16
(44 meetings)
28
16
Toews
Spaling
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
1
Toews
Spaling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
6
9
Toews
Spaling
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
16
6
Toews
Spaling
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
50.5% (2,263)
+6.7%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
43.4% (53)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
48.0% (498)
+5.6%
On power play, Toews has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Toews
Spaling
Home
59.7% (9,192)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Toews
Spaling
P1
58.6%
49.8%
P2
57.8%
48.3%
P3
57.3%
52.0%
OT
58.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |