Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 75.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 86.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 83.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Toews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Suzuki
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
51.3% (904)
+11.2%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
49.8% (265)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
36.8% (57)
+10.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Toews
Suzuki
Home
60.9% (435)
50.6% (603)
Away
62.0% (434)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Toews
Suzuki
P1
59.8%
52.3%
P2
65.7%
47.5%
P3
58.8%
51.1%
OT
80.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 01:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |