Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 84.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 84.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 83.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Toews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Suzuki
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
47.0% (1,066)
+14.1%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
49.5% (204)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
46.6% (131)
+13.0%
On power play, Toews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Toews
Suzuki
Home
64.8% (560)
49.4% (686)
Away
60.6% (381)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Toews
Suzuki
P1
62.3%
45.6%
P2
63.9%
46.9%
P3
62.8%
49.8%
OT
70.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
60.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 03:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |