Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Hischier 54.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 67.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 51.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 66.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Toews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Hischier
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Toews
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
55.0% (1,107)
+7.5%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
63.1% (252)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
43.6% (149)
+3.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Toews
Hischier
Home
60.9% (435)
56.5% (763)
Away
62.0% (434)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Toews
Hischier
P1
59.8%
56.0%
P2
65.7%
57.6%
P3
58.8%
53.0%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |