Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Zacha 50.1% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 62.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Toews
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
48.0% (296)
+10.0%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
61.0% (59)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
50.0% (22)
+1.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Toews
Zacha
Home
59.3% (637)
48.9% (223)
Away
58.7% (699)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Toews
Zacha
P1
61.5%
47.9%
P2
55.2%
48.3%
P3
60.0%
54.3%
OT
70.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%