Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.5% vs Nash 48.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 76.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Toews
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Toews
Nash
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Nash
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,115)
47.7% (801)
+10.7%
Power Play
61.3% (256)
51.2% (41)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (182)
52.3% (107)
-1.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Toews shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Toews
Nash
Home
59.5% (783)
50.1% (467)
Away
56.4% (770)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Toews
Nash
P1
58.4%
52.1%
P2
59.4%
44.9%
P3
55.9%
47.3%
OT
61.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |