Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 25-7 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 82.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Toews
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
7
(32 meetings)
25
7
Toews
Nash
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
10
1
Toews
Nash
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Nash
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
9
4
Toews
Nash
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
48.7% (4,621)
+8.5%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
51.0% (249)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
44.9% (550)
+8.7%
On power play, Toews has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Toews
Nash
Home
59.7% (9,192)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Toews
Nash
P1
58.6%
49.0%
P2
57.8%
47.9%
P3
57.3%
48.0%
OT
58.9%
68.4%
Final 5 min
58.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |