Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Nash 48.2% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 90.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 56.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 70.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Toews
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Nash
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Toews
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
48.3% (449)
+7.6%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
37.5% (8)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
45.5% (55)
+10.4%
On power play, Toews has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Toews shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Toews
Nash
Home
56.6% (709)
51.6% (275)
Away
58.0% (785)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Toews
Nash
P1
60.4%
52.7%
P2
57.6%
43.9%
P3
54.3%
47.7%
OT
59.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |