Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 68.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 76.8%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 60.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Toews
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toews
Sheahan
Last 5: Toews 2-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Toews
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Toews
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
50.7% (357)
+7.3%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
50.0% (8)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
40.2% (194)
+11.5%
On power play, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Toews
Sheahan
Home
59.3% (637)
44.8% (248)
Away
58.7% (699)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Toews
Sheahan
P1
61.5%
46.2%
P2
55.2%
50.5%
P3
60.0%
44.7%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |