Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Toews wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 84.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Toews
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Toews
Getzlaf
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
2
Toews
Getzlaf
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Getzlaf
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Toews
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
48.1% (607)
+9.2%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
52.2% (67)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
66.1% (62)
43.1% (65)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Toews is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Toews shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Toews
Getzlaf
Home
61.0% (479)
51.2% (326)
Away
58.8% (454)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Toews
Getzlaf
P1
61.3%
50.2%
P2
57.9%
47.9%
P3
59.3%
47.0%
OT
73.3%
36.8%
Final 5 min
60.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2013 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2013 | OT | 02:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |