Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 75.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 75.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Toews
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Getzlaf
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
52.5% (772)
+5.5%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
60.8% (153)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
48.0% (100)
+3.7%
On power play, Toews has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Toews
Getzlaf
Home
59.3% (637)
56.0% (557)
Away
58.7% (699)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Toews
Getzlaf
P1
61.5%
52.2%
P2
55.2%
53.0%
P3
60.0%
54.9%
OT
70.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |