Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 66.2%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 71.8%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 71.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Toews
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Toews
Getzlaf
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
3
Toews
Getzlaf
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
4
Toews
Getzlaf
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
48.1% (939)
+10.1%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
56.8% (222)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
41.4% (58)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Toews
Getzlaf
Home
59.8% (805)
49.4% (591)
Away
57.3% (768)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Toews
Getzlaf
P1
60.2%
50.0%
P2
60.7%
47.4%
P3
55.9%
50.6%
OT
44.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | OT | 01:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |